Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 2.052767 2.370491 2.719607 3.131487 3.603965 4.128860 4.756115
2025-04-06 1.616869 2.033561 2.530070 3.164579 3.953309 4.900972 6.125751
2025-04-13 1.238440 1.679383 2.243585 3.016931 4.048055 5.374303 7.208851
2025-04-20 1.055670 1.530814 2.178506 3.123164 4.463134 6.293084 8.979862
2025-04-27 0.932917 1.437290 2.165200 3.287823 4.971084 7.396319 11.151454
2025-05-04 0.813328 1.324794 2.102603 3.365093 5.356389 8.368720 13.263507
2025-05-11 0.708827 1.215670 2.024654 3.401138 5.675764 9.274046 15.385180
2025-05-18 0.599832 1.079952 1.881954 3.308316 5.770458 9.831503 17.018788
2025-05-25 0.499932 0.942436 1.714070 3.144919 5.718278 10.132476 18.252453
2025-06-01 0.441738 0.869091 1.644627 3.139416 5.931719 10.897872 20.364058
2025-06-08 0.384932 0.788987 1.550769 3.074309 6.025144 11.456981 22.166832
2025-06-15 0.366454 0.779891 1.587109 3.257056 6.600115 12.950109 25.861733
2025-06-22 0.339365 0.750794 1.583558 3.367324 7.061428 14.307469 29.512625
2025-06-29 0.305368 0.701961 1.533735 3.377478 7.325273 15.317162 32.613391
2025-07-06 0.259986 0.621050 1.405750 3.205787 7.190480 15.514757 34.092732
2025-07-13 0.242866 0.601064 1.405448 3.309668 7.655693 17.000027 38.449131
2025-07-20 0.232020 0.593978 1.432608 3.478375 8.285097 18.906532 43.946195
2025-07-27 0.215923 0.571564 1.421369 3.556640 8.719194 20.437687 48.796606
2025-08-03 0.198905 0.544062 1.394101 3.592655 9.058714 21.795553 53.415068
2025-08-10 0.176338 0.498484 1.316254 3.493561 9.060136 22.375224 56.282322
2025-08-17 0.152927 0.446671 1.215085 3.320575 8.854300 22.437408 57.906382
2025-08-24 0.140098 0.421929 1.180192 3.314374 9.069969 23.542088 62.226076
2025-08-31 0.125959 0.391113 1.124755 3.245499 9.113179 24.223883 65.561230